<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official: Jan 2026 - Issue #2]]></title><description><![CDATA[Russia - Ukraine War]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/s/jan-2026-issue-2</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!95jf!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8945b69a-9b73-477e-88de-52190ec0b824_1280x1280.png</url><title>Scott Burton Official: Jan 2026 - Issue #2</title><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/s/jan-2026-issue-2</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 23:19:39 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Scott Burton]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[scottburtonofficial@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[scottburtonofficial@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[scottburtonofficial@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[scottburtonofficial@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks in January 2026: Current Status and Positions]]></title><description><![CDATA[Overview of the trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Abu Dhabi and ongoing diplomatic efforts]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/ukraine-russia-peace-talks-january-2026-status</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/ukraine-russia-peace-talks-january-2026-status</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2026 15:24:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Scott Burton Official (24 min read)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg" width="4000" height="2235" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:2235,&quot;width&quot;:4000,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1785094,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: the Abu Dhabi skyline. Wikimedia Commons user Adilamin786 / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shades_of_Abu_Dhabi_afternoon.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/186203313?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd14f4c8e-e29b-4d13-b329-4f4d57114156_4000x3000.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: the Abu Dhabi skyline. Wikimedia Commons user Adilamin786 / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shades_of_Abu_Dhabi_afternoon.jpg" title="Photo: the Abu Dhabi skyline. Wikimedia Commons user Adilamin786 / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shades_of_Abu_Dhabi_afternoon.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nAXh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ac11439-ed9c-43e0-b6cd-9d9b6a26a888_4000x2235.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of the Abu Dhabi skyline.</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>Negotiators from Ukraine, Russia, and the United States met in Abu Dhabi on January 23&#8211;26, 2026, for the first trilateral talks since Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The discussions focused on territorial issues in eastern Ukraine&#8217;s Donbas region, security guarantees, and potential ceasefire parameters. All sides described the talks as constructive, but no agreement was reached on core issues. The parties agreed to resume negotiations, with the next round scheduled for February 1, 2026. The meetings followed a three-hour discussion between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump&#8217;s envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, at the Kremlin on January 22, which the Kremlin described as useful. The talks represent a resumption of direct diplomacy after years of limited contact, with momentum from U.S. mediation but deep divisions persisting on territory and security guarantees.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Background: Minsk and Normandy Efforts, 2014&#8211;2021</h2><p>The <strong>Donbas </strong>conflict began in <strong>April 2014</strong> after Russia&#8217;s annexation of <strong>Crimea</strong>, when pro-Russian separatists seized government buildings in <strong>Donetsk </strong>and <strong>Luhansk </strong>oblasts and proclaimed the <strong>Donetsk People&#8217;s Republic</strong> and <strong>Luhansk People&#8217;s Republic</strong>. <strong>Ukraine </strong>launched military operations to regain control, and <strong>Russia </strong>provided support to the separatists, though Moscow denied direct involvement at the time. The <strong>Minsk Protocol </strong>(<strong>Minsk I</strong>), signed on <strong>September 5, 2014</strong>, in <strong>Minsk</strong>, Belarus, by representatives of <strong>Ukraine</strong>, <strong>Russia</strong>, the <strong>OSCE</strong>, and the separatist entities, called for an immediate ceasefire, withdrawal of heavy weapons, prisoner exchanges, local elections, and amnesty. The ceasefire collapsed within days, leading to renewed fighting.</p><p>The follow-up <strong>Minsk II</strong> agreement, signed on <strong>February 11&#8211;12, 2015</strong>, in <strong>Minsk </strong>after intense combat around <strong>Debaltseve</strong>, was brokered by the <strong>Normandy Format</strong> (<strong>Ukraine</strong>, <strong>Russia</strong>, <strong>France</strong>, and <strong>Germany</strong>). It outlined <strong>13 </strong>points, including a ceasefire, pullout of heavy weapons, <strong>OSCE </strong>monitoring, constitutional reform for decentralization, local elections in separatist areas, amnesty, withdrawal of foreign armed groups, and restoration of economic ties. The agreement reduced large-scale combat but never fully stopped violations, with the <strong>OSCE </strong>reporting thousands of ceasefire breaches annually. <strong>The Normandy Format</strong> held several meetings between <strong>2015 </strong>and <strong>2021 </strong>(<strong>Paris 2015</strong>, <strong>Berlin 2016</strong>, <strong>Paris 2019</strong>, <strong>Berlin 2020</strong>), achieving some prisoner exchanges and partial disengagements but failing to implement the political provisions. No full political settlement was reached, and the contact line remained divided until the <strong>2022 </strong>invasion.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg" width="1212" height="490" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:490,&quot;width&quot;:1212,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:137070,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: 2019 Paris Normandy Format summit (Zelenskyy, Putin, Macron, Merkel at table). Wikimedia Commons user &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1089;&#1089;-&#1089;&#1083;&#1091;&#1078;&#1073;&#1072; &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1079;&#1080;&#1076;&#1077;&#1085;&#1090;&#1072; &#1056;&#1086;&#1089;&#1089;&#1080;&#1081;&#1089;&#1082;&#1086;&#1081; &#1060;&#1077;&#1076;&#1077;&#1088;&#1072;&#1094;&#1080;&#1080; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Zelensky,_Merkel,_Macron,_Putin,_(2019-12-10)_03.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/186203313?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F827ca3dc-380b-40e8-94bf-4c0346b02603_1280x790.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: 2019 Paris Normandy Format summit (Zelenskyy, Putin, Macron, Merkel at table). Wikimedia Commons user &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1089;&#1089;-&#1089;&#1083;&#1091;&#1078;&#1073;&#1072; &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1079;&#1080;&#1076;&#1077;&#1085;&#1090;&#1072; &#1056;&#1086;&#1089;&#1089;&#1080;&#1081;&#1089;&#1082;&#1086;&#1081; &#1060;&#1077;&#1076;&#1077;&#1088;&#1072;&#1094;&#1080;&#1080; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Zelensky,_Merkel,_Macron,_Putin,_(2019-12-10)_03.jpg" title="Photo: 2019 Paris Normandy Format summit (Zelenskyy, Putin, Macron, Merkel at table). Wikimedia Commons user &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1089;&#1089;-&#1089;&#1083;&#1091;&#1078;&#1073;&#1072; &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1079;&#1080;&#1076;&#1077;&#1085;&#1090;&#1072; &#1056;&#1086;&#1089;&#1089;&#1080;&#1081;&#1089;&#1082;&#1086;&#1081; &#1060;&#1077;&#1076;&#1077;&#1088;&#1072;&#1094;&#1080;&#1080; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Zelensky,_Merkel,_Macron,_Putin,_(2019-12-10)_03.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zd7l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00b0446f-886b-463a-9796-96327fcefdb7_1212x490.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of 2019 Paris Normandy Format summit (Zelenskyy, Putin, Macron, Merkel at table).</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Background: Previous Peace Efforts Since 2022</h2><p>Direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine began shortly after the invasion. The first round took place on <strong>February 28, 2022</strong>, on the Belarus-Ukraine border. Discussions centered on a ceasefire, humanitarian corridors, and troop withdrawal. No agreement was reached, and the talks were described as preliminary.</p><p>Subsequent rounds occurred on <strong>March 3,</strong> <strong>March 7</strong>, <strong>March 10</strong>, and <strong>March 14&#8211;16, 2022</strong>, some on the Belarus border and others in Antalya, Turkey. A draft framework emerged, often referred to as the Istanbul Communiqu&#233;, proposing Ukraine&#8217;s non-NATO status, military limits, security guarantees from Western countries, and no requirement to recognize Crimea&#8217;s annexation. The talks collapsed by mid-April 2022 amid battlefield shifts, revelations of alleged Russian war crimes, and mutual distrust.</p><p>From mid-<strong>2022 </strong>to <strong>2024</strong>, no major direct bilateral peace talks occurred. Diplomacy focused on prisoner exchanges, humanitarian issues, and multilateral forums. The Black Sea Grain Initiative, brokered by the United Nations and Turkey in <strong>July 2022</strong>, allowed Ukrainian grain exports but expired in 2023 without renewal.</p><p>In <strong>2025</strong>, renewed efforts emerged under the Trump administration. Trump pushed for a ceasefire and engaged directly with Ukrainian President <strong>Volodymyr Zelenskyy</strong> and Russian President <strong>Vladimir Putin</strong>. A bilateral summit in Anchorage, Alaska, in <strong>August 2025</strong> produced no formal deal but was referenced in later discussions. Early drafts circulated in late <strong>2025</strong>, involving territorial concessions, military caps, and security arrangements.</p><p>The <strong>2026 </strong>talks built on this momentum, with the Abu Dhabi meetings marking the first trilateral format since the invasion. The discussions involved expert-level meetings with military representatives from all sides. The U.S. delegation was led by Special Envoy <strong>Steve Witkoff</strong>. Ukraine&#8217;s team included <strong>Rustem Umerov</strong> and <strong>Kyrylo Budanov</strong>. Russia&#8217;s delegation was headed by Admiral <strong>Igor Kostyukov</strong>, chief of the Main Intelligence Directorate.</p><p>The agenda covered military issues, economic matters, potential ceasefire parameters, territorial disputes, and security guarantees. Discussions addressed the Donbas region, particularly the remaining Ukrainian-held parts of Donetsk oblast. All sides described the talks as constructive. Zelenskyy noted that much was discussed and that further meetings could occur soon. Witkoff called the talks very constructive and said progress had been made. The Kremlin described the dialogue as beginning in a constructive way.</p><p>No final agreement or breakthrough was reached. The parties agreed to consult their capitals and coordinate next steps. The next round is scheduled for <strong>February 1, 2026</strong>, in Abu Dhabi, with potential for one or two days of meetings.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Trump&#8217;s Reactions</h2><p>President Trump has expressed optimism about the peace process. In mid-January 2026, he stated that Ukraine was less ready for a deal than Russia and that Putin was prepared to negotiate. He described the talks as producing good progress and said the sides were reasonably close. Trump met with Zelenskyy in Davos in January 2026 and called the meeting good. He warned that both sides needed to compromise or risk prolonging the war. Trump has linked U.S. security guarantees for Ukraine to a deal involving concessions and has threatened sanctions on Russia if no progress occurs.</p><p>Trump&#8217;s approach has emphasized direct engagement. He has spoken with Putin multiple times, including a three-hour call in late <strong>December 2025</strong> and the January 22, 2026, meeting with his envoys. Trump has stated that the talks are advancing and that &#8220;very good things are happening&#8221; in U.S.-led diplomacy. He has described Putin as &#8220;ready to make a deal&#8221; and has urged both sides to move forward quickly.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp" width="724" height="407.25" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:724,&quot;bytes&quot;:891428,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: Official White House photo of President Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/186203313?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: Official White House photo of President Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov)." title="Photo: Official White House photo of President Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sauF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90748133-3e58-44c9-bcdb-403498d42964_2047x1152.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo: Official White House photo of President Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov).</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Ukraine&#8217;s Reactions</h2><p>Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy described the Abu Dhabi talks as constructive and important. He said a lot was discussed, including possible parameters for ending the war and security conditions. Zelenskyy emphasized that Ukraine is ready to move forward and that further meetings could take place soon. He has maintained that Ukraine is committed to peace and that Russia bears responsibility for the conflict. Zelenskyy condemned ongoing Russian strikes during the talks, stating they discredit diplomacy and hit both Ukrainian people and the negotiation table.</p><p>Ukrainian negotiators reported back positively on the process. They described the Russian delegation as more serious than in past rounds, though skepticism remains about Putin&#8217;s willingness to compromise. Ukraine&#8217;s core positions include no unilateral territorial concessions, full accountability for war crimes, prisoner and child returns, and strong security guarantees. Zelenskyy has stated that a bilateral U.S.-Ukraine security agreement is &#8220;100% ready&#8221; to be signed, pending confirmation of date and place. He views this as a top priority for post-war deterrence.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg" width="420" height="321.71355498721226" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:599,&quot;width&quot;:782,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:420,&quot;bytes&quot;:68944,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official portrait of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Wikimedia Commons user Press Service of the President of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Volodymyr_Zelensky_2022_official_portrait_(cropped).jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/186203313?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffb6298d8-bb0e-40ab-ab04-04d0efd2994c_794x1029.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official portrait of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Wikimedia Commons user Press Service of the President of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Volodymyr_Zelensky_2022_official_portrait_(cropped).jpg" title="Official portrait of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Wikimedia Commons user Press Service of the President of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Volodymyr_Zelensky_2022_official_portrait_(cropped).jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qjNl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa8947300-038b-465f-a742-48e1f59a37dc_782x599.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of the official portrait of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Russia&#8217;s Reactions</h2><p>Russian officials described the talks as constructive and positive. Kremlin spokesman <strong>Dmitry Peskov</strong> said the dialogue began in a constructive way and that the fact of direct contacts can be assessed positively. He emphasized that major challenges remain and serious work is ahead. Peskov reiterated that the territorial issue, particularly Ukraine&#8217;s withdrawal from Donbas, is fundamental. Russian aide Yuri Ushakov described prior discussions as substantive and frank, stating that a long-term settlement is impossible without resolving the territorial issue. Russia maintains its position that Ukraine must cede remaining parts of Donetsk oblast and that any deal must address Russia&#8217;s security concerns.</p><p>The Russian delegation, led by Admiral Igor Kostyukov, focused on military and security aspects. Russian statements have emphasized adherence to understandings from previous summits, including the Anchorage Formula from August 2025. Russia has portrayed itself as open to negotiations but unwilling to bend to pressure.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg" width="400" height="322.5" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:774,&quot;width&quot;:960,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:400,&quot;bytes&quot;:137924,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: Russian President Vladimir Putin makes a video address to congratulate Russia's women on International Women's Day in Moscow, Russia. Wikimedia Commons user &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1089;&#1089;-&#1089;&#1083;&#1091;&#1078;&#1073;&#1072; &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1079;&#1080;&#1076;&#1077;&#1085;&#1090;&#1072; &#1056;&#1060; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://www.thetimes.com/world/europe/article/emmanuel-macron-rebrands-himself-as-anti-russia-hawk-to-german-fury-dlplhbbzs&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/186203313?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c9e3b49-90b8-451a-9cc8-2f632b9350e4_960x1357.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: Russian President Vladimir Putin makes a video address to congratulate Russia's women on International Women's Day in Moscow, Russia. Wikimedia Commons user &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1089;&#1089;-&#1089;&#1083;&#1091;&#1078;&#1073;&#1072; &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1079;&#1080;&#1076;&#1077;&#1085;&#1090;&#1072; &#1056;&#1060; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://www.thetimes.com/world/europe/article/emmanuel-macron-rebrands-himself-as-anti-russia-hawk-to-german-fury-dlplhbbzs" title="Photo: Russian President Vladimir Putin makes a video address to congratulate Russia's women on International Women's Day in Moscow, Russia. Wikimedia Commons user &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1089;&#1089;-&#1089;&#1083;&#1091;&#1078;&#1073;&#1072; &#1055;&#1088;&#1077;&#1079;&#1080;&#1076;&#1077;&#1085;&#1090;&#1072; &#1056;&#1060; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://www.thetimes.com/world/europe/article/emmanuel-macron-rebrands-himself-as-anti-russia-hawk-to-german-fury-dlplhbbzs" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ALQS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b391dfc-7bcf-43ae-9164-b978ad877605_960x774.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of Russian President Vladimir Putin makes a video address to congratulate Russia&#8217;s women on International Women&#8217;s Day in Moscow, Russia.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Core Sticking Points and Positions</h2><p>The talks have narrowed differences but remain stalled on core issues. Territory, particularly <strong>Donbas</strong>, is the primary gap. Russia demands Ukraine withdraw from remaining Ukrainian-held parts of Donetsk oblast. Ukraine rejects territorial concessions for land not won militarily. Security guarantees are another point of contention. Ukraine seeks binding U.S. commitments, while Russia rejects meaningful guarantees. Ceasefire sequencing remains unresolved, with disagreement on whether fighting stops before or after a full deal.</p><p>Other issues include neutrality, military limits, prisoner returns, and reparations. The sides continue to consult capitals and coordinate next steps.</p><div><hr></div><h2>International Reactions and Broader Context</h2><p>European officials have expressed skepticism. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said Russia appears unwilling to move from maximalist demands. The European Union reiterated support for Ukraine&#8217;s territorial integrity. Ongoing military activity, including Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities, has continued during the talks.Public sentiment varies. Polls show approximately <strong>61 percent</strong> of Russians support negotiations, while only <strong>26 percent</strong> of Ukrainians believe talks will succeed. The process remains active under U.S. mediation, with momentum from the Abu Dhabi meetings.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>The Russia-Ukraine peace talks in January 2026 represent a resumption of direct diplomacy after years of limited contact. The trilateral format in Abu Dhabi marked a step forward, but core divisions on territory and security guarantees persist. </p><p>The next round on February 1, 2026, will test whether progress can be made. The war&#8217;s ongoing costs and continued fighting underscore the urgency of a resolution.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:715910,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of a single olive branch lying broken in half on cracked dry ground, symbolizing the repeated failure of past peace efforts and the fragile, fractured state of current diplomacy.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/186203313?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of a single olive branch lying broken in half on cracked dry ground, symbolizing the repeated failure of past peace efforts and the fragile, fractured state of current diplomacy." title="AI-generated illustration of a single olive branch lying broken in half on cracked dry ground, symbolizing the repeated failure of past peace efforts and the fragile, fractured state of current diplomacy." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n5eG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d7075a9-dffb-40ad-b197-6d305b250a26_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official).</figcaption></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Casualties and Humanitarian Crisis in Ukraine: Estimates from 2022 to 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[Overview of the human, financial, and material toll of the Russia-Ukraine war since 2022]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/ukraine-war-casualties-humanitarian-crisis-2022-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/ukraine-war-casualties-humanitarian-crisis-2022-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2026 15:21:05 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Scott Burton Official (24 min read)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2823339,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of an empty, snow-covered Ukrainian village street with damaged houses in background, symbolizing the widespread civilian impact and long-term human cost of the war.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185811936?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of an empty, snow-covered Ukrainian village street with damaged houses in background, symbolizing the widespread civilian impact and long-term human cost of the war." title="AI-generated illustration of an empty, snow-covered Ukrainian village street with damaged houses in background, symbolizing the widespread civilian impact and long-term human cost of the war." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!evq7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff660acb5-effc-4bef-bad7-20b6257c8c36_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>The Russia-Ukraine war, which escalated into a full-scale Russian invasion on February 24, 2022, has inflicted immense human, financial, and material costs on Ukraine and its neighbors, with ripple effects felt worldwide. Tens of thousands of civilians have been killed or injured, millions displaced, and infrastructure devastated, creating one of the largest humanitarian crises in modern Europe. The conflict has also drained hundreds of billions in international aid, strained economies through sanctions and energy disruptions, and heightened global security risks, including nuclear concerns. As of early 2026, the ongoing fighting continues to generate new casualties and deepen humanitarian needs, with reconstruction costs projected at over $1 trillion and no immediate resolution in sight. The war&#8217;s long-term challenges include mental health impacts, environmental contamination, and strained international relations.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Human Loss of Life and Injuries</h2><p>The war&#8217;s toll on human life has been profound, affecting civilians and combatants across Ukraine and in Russian border regions. Civilian casualties have been documented since the invasion&#8217;s outset, with verified deaths and injuries numbering in the tens of thousands. From <strong>February 2022</strong> to <strong>December 2025</strong>, civilian deaths reached <strong>14,999</strong> and injuries <strong>40,601</strong>, totaling <strong>55,600</strong> civilian casualties. These numbers represent minimum figures, as access to occupied territories and frontline areas remains limited for verification teams.</p><p>Casualties were highest in the invasion&#8217;s early months, when urban sieges and rapid advances led to intense fighting in populated areas. In <strong>2022</strong>, deaths reached <strong>7,000</strong> and injuries <strong>11,000</strong>, with heavy losses during the siege of Mariupol and assaults on Kharkiv and other cities. The rate declined in <strong>2023 </strong>to <strong>1,974 </strong>deaths and <strong>6,651 </strong>injuries as front lines stabilized and fighting shifted to more rural Donbas regions. In <strong>2024</strong>, casualties rose to <strong>2,088 </strong>deaths and <strong>9,138 </strong>injuries amid intensified drone and missile strikes on civilian infrastructure. The year 2025 saw the highest numbers since the initial invasion, with <strong>2,514 </strong>deaths and <strong>12,142 </strong>injuries, a <strong>31 </strong>percent increase in deaths and <strong>70 </strong>percent in injuries from the previous year.</p><p>Causes of civilian casualties include artillery shelling, drone attacks, mines, and airstrikes. Short-range drones accounted for a growing share in <strong>2025</strong>, while long-range weapons killed <strong>548 </strong>civilians and injured <strong>3,592</strong>, up <strong>26 </strong>percent in deaths and <strong>75 percent </strong>in injuries from <strong>2024</strong>. Urban areas far from the front, such as Kyiv, saw casualties nearly four times higher in the first ten months of <strong>2025 </strong>than all of <strong>2024</strong>. Similar increases occurred in Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia.</p><p>Military casualties are harder to quantify due to official secrecy and restricted access. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated in <strong>December 2024</strong> that <strong>43,000 </strong>Ukrainian soldiers had been killed and <strong>370,000 </strong>injured since <strong>2022</strong>. Russian figures remain unconfirmed, but independent estimates from the U.K. Ministry of Defence put Russian deaths at <strong>20,000 </strong>and wounds at <strong>40,000 </strong>from <strong>February 2022</strong> to <strong>November 2023</strong>. The Economist estimated <strong>73,000&#8211;140,000</strong> Russian killed up to <strong>July 2025</strong>. Former CIA director William Burns assessed <strong>1,100,000</strong> Russian casualties as of <strong>January 2026</strong>.</p><p>Missing and detained persons add to the human loss. The International Committee of the Red Cross reported thousands of prisoners of war and civilians detained on both sides. The United Nations has documented cases of torture and mistreatment in detention facilities. Prisoner exchanges have occurred periodically, with several hundred released in <strong>2025 </strong>and <strong>2026</strong>. The OSCE has facilitated some of these exchanges, but many families still await news of loved ones.</p><p>Long-term effects on survivors include physical disabilities and mental health issues. The World Health Organization estimates that millions suffer from post-traumatic stress disorder and depression as a result of the conflict. The war has also left thousands of amputees and individuals with severe injuries requiring lifelong care.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Displacement and Refugee Crisis</h2><p>The war has forced millions from their homes, creating one of the largest displacement crises in Europe since World War II. As of early <strong>2026</strong>, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) estimates <strong>3.7 million</strong> internally displaced persons within Ukraine. The majority come from frontline regions like Donbas and Kherson oblasts, where ongoing fighting makes return unsafe.</p><p>The refugee flow began with the <strong>2014 </strong>conflict in Donbas and Crimea, which displaced <strong>1.5 million people</strong>. The <strong>2022 </strong>invasion caused the largest wave, with over <strong>4 million</strong> fleeing in the first month alone. By <strong>2026</strong>, approximately <strong>6.9 million</strong> Ukrainians remain refugees abroad. Poland hosts the largest number, followed by Germany and other European countries.</p><p>Return rates are low due to ongoing fighting and destroyed infrastructure. Many refugees face legal and economic challenges in host countries. The economic impact on host nations is significant. Poland has spent over <strong>$10 billion</strong> annually on refugee support since <strong>2022</strong>, according to government figures. Germany and the Czech Republic have reported similar burdens.</p><p>Child deportations have emerged as a particular concern. The International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants in <strong>2023 </strong>for Russian officials accused of deporting <strong>19,000 </strong>Ukrainian children from occupied territories. Russia maintains that the transfers were for safety reasons. The United Nations has called for the immediate return of all deported children. As of <strong>2025</strong>, only around <strong>1,850 </strong>children have been returned to Ukraine, according to humanitarian research estimates.</p><p>The displacement has disrupted families and communities. Many children have missed years of schooling, and elderly people have been separated from support networks. The crisis has also strained social services in host countries, with increased demand for housing, healthcare, and education.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1212007,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of a long row of temporary refugee tents in a camp, symbolizing massive scale of internal displacement.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185811936?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of a long row of temporary refugee tents in a camp, symbolizing massive scale of internal displacement." title="AI-generated illustration of a long row of temporary refugee tents in a camp, symbolizing massive scale of internal displacement." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J7CX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b04045e-4bee-466b-85db-a1fe70766550_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Humanitarian Aid and Needs</h2><p>Approximately <strong>12.7 million</strong> people in Ukraine need humanitarian assistance as of <strong>2026</strong>. Aid focuses on food, shelter, medical care, and education. The United Nations and partners have delivered billions in assistance since <strong>2022</strong>.</p><p>Russia&#8217;s attacks on energy infrastructure have exacerbated the crisis, especially during winter months. Millions lost heat and electricity in <strong>2025</strong>. Humanitarian corridors have allowed limited evacuations from frontline areas. The International Red Cross and Red Crescent have facilitated these corridors, enabling the delivery of supplies to besieged cities.</p><p>Aid from non-Western sources has supplemented Western efforts. China has provided economic assistance to Russia, while India has sent medical supplies to Ukraine. Turkey has facilitated grain deals and prisoner exchanges.</p><p>The humanitarian response has included emergency food distributions, cash assistance, and medical supplies. However, funding shortfalls have limited operations. The UN appealed for <strong>$3.1 billion</strong> in <strong>2026 </strong>to meet basic needs. Access to occupied areas remains restricted, complicating aid delivery.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg" width="1280" height="862" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:862,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:354978,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: Pallets ready for shipping at the UNICEF world warehouse in Copenhagen Wikimedia Commons user heb@Wikimedia Commons (mail) / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UNICEF_pallets_02.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185811936?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: Pallets ready for shipping at the UNICEF world warehouse in Copenhagen Wikimedia Commons user heb@Wikimedia Commons (mail) / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UNICEF_pallets_02.jpg" title="Photo: Pallets ready for shipping at the UNICEF world warehouse in Copenhagen Wikimedia Commons user heb@Wikimedia Commons (mail) / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UNICEF_pallets_02.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ShIw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5f89bbc-2a55-43e2-9c4b-5977e97e3123_1280x862.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of UNICEF corrugated boxes stacked and strapped together on pallets in a warehouse.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Property and Infrastructure Damage</h2><p>The war has caused extensive property and infrastructure damage. The World Bank estimates reconstruction costs at <strong>$486 billion</strong> as of <strong>2025</strong>, with projections exceeding <strong>$1 trillion</strong> by <strong>2026</strong>. Thousands of schools, hospitals, and homes have been destroyed or damaged.</p><p>Specific sectors have suffered heavily. The energy grid has been a primary target, with Russian strikes causing blackouts affecting millions. Transportation infrastructure, including bridges and railways, has been disrupted, hindering aid delivery. Agricultural land in Donbas and southern Ukraine remains contaminated by mines and unexploded ordnance.</p><p>Environmental costs add to the property damage. Mine contamination affects <strong>25 percent</strong> of Ukraine&#8217;s land, according to the United Nations. Chemical pollution from shelling and destroyed facilities has contaminated water sources and soil. The destruction of the Kakhovka dam in <strong>2023 </strong>caused widespread flooding and environmental damage in the south. Cleanup costs for environmental damage are estimated at <strong>$38 billion</strong>. The war has generated <strong>237 million tons</strong> of CO2 equivalent emissions, valued at <strong>$44 billion</strong> in climate damage.</p><p>The damage has disrupted daily life and economic activity. Power outages have affected hospitals and water supplies. Rebuilding efforts will require sustained international support and coordination.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png" width="960" height="774" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/dbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:774,&quot;width&quot;:960,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:856321,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: Residential building in Uman (Cherkasy region of Ukraine) after Russian missile strike on 28 April 2023. Wikimedia Commons user \tNational Police of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Uman_after_Russian_missile_strike,_2023-04-28_(03).png&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185811936?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: Residential building in Uman (Cherkasy region of Ukraine) after Russian missile strike on 28 April 2023. Wikimedia Commons user &#9;National Police of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Uman_after_Russian_missile_strike,_2023-04-28_(03).png" title="Photo: Residential building in Uman (Cherkasy region of Ukraine) after Russian missile strike on 28 April 2023. Wikimedia Commons user &#9;National Police of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Uman_after_Russian_missile_strike,_2023-04-28_(03).png" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!82pv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdbc07d4f-12ec-467a-a72f-73c444bf02da_960x774.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of a residential building in Uman (Cherkasy region of Ukraine) after Russian missile strike on 28 April 2023.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Global and Regional Impacts on Peace and Security</h2><p>The war has disrupted global peace and security. It has led to increased military spending worldwide and accelerated NATO expansion. Finland and Sweden joined the alliance in <strong>2023 </strong>and <strong>2024</strong>, citing the invasion as a catalyst.</p><p>Regional effects include refugee strain on Europe. The influx has cost host countries billions in support. The Black Sea grain deal, brokered in <strong>2022</strong>, helped mitigate global food shortages but expired in <strong>2023</strong>, leading to higher prices.</p><p>Nuclear risks have heightened tensions. Incidents at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, Europe&#8217;s largest, raised fears of radiation leaks. Russia&#8217;s nuclear rhetoric has contributed to escalation concerns.</p><p>The war has influenced global arms markets. Drone and missile technology proliferation has increased, with countries observing the conflict&#8217;s lessons. Defense budgets in Europe have risen by <strong>20 percent</strong> since <strong>2022</strong>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg" width="1280" height="853" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:853,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:301452,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: The port in Odessa, Ukraine. Wikimedia Commons user  Aktron / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_72nd_bde_drone_bomber_02.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185811936?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: The port in Odessa, Ukraine. Wikimedia Commons user  Aktron / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_72nd_bde_drone_bomber_02.jpg" title="Photo: The port in Odessa, Ukraine. Wikimedia Commons user  Aktron / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_72nd_bde_drone_bomber_02.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hwE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F72b97a53-8406-4fd0-9f9c-ba27a355eb91_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of the port in Odessa, Ukraine.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Effects on U.S.-Russia Relations and Trump&#8217;s Role</h2><p>U.S.-Russia relations deteriorated before the invasion. Sanctions were imposed after <strong>2014 </strong>events in Crimea and Donbas. Investigations into Russian election interference in <strong>2016 </strong>further strained ties.</p><p>During the war, the Biden administration provided over <strong>$66 billion</strong> in aid to Ukraine from <strong>2022 </strong>to <strong>2024</strong>. Trump criticized the spending during his campaign.</p><p>In <strong>2025 </strong>and <strong>2026</strong>, Trump engaged directly with Putin and Zelenskyy on peace efforts. Bilateral trade has suffered. U.S. energy sanctions have cost Russia over <strong>$100 billion</strong> in exports annually since <strong>2022</strong>.</p><p>The 2026 outlook involves ongoing U.S. mediation. Trump has stated intentions to negotiate a settlement, potentially involving aid reductions.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp" width="1456" height="970" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:970,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:464242,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: Exterior photo of the White House with yellow and purple flowers in the foreground.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185811936?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: Exterior photo of the White House with yellow and purple flowers in the foreground." title="Photo: Exterior photo of the White House with yellow and purple flowers in the foreground." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GIkR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1078d19-bc2a-4e6b-bd13-2f3ee95ba224_2000x1333.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official White House photo of the White House (whitehouse.gov).</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>The Russia-Ukraine war&#8217;s costs extend far beyond the battlefield. Human losses, displacement, financial burdens, property destruction, and global disruptions have defined the conflict from <strong>2022 </strong>to <strong>2026</strong>. As peace talks continue, the humanitarian crisis remains a central challenge for all parties involved. Reconstruction and recovery will require sustained international support for years to come.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Drone Warfare Evolution: Ukrainian and Russian Strikes Deep into Enemy Territory (2022–2026)]]></title><description><![CDATA[How drones became a key weapon in the Russia-Ukraine war from 2022 to 2026]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/drone-warfare-evolution-russia-ukraine-2022-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/drone-warfare-evolution-russia-ukraine-2022-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 23 Jan 2026 14:40:20 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Scott Burton Official (14 min read)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png" width="1456" height="1092" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1092,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:321902,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image: Chart showing Russian number of drones (unmanned aerial vehicles) launched against Ukraine as a function of time. Wikimedia Commons user RCraig09 / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2024-_Russian_drones_launched_against_Ukraine.svg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185332023?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image: Chart showing Russian number of drones (unmanned aerial vehicles) launched against Ukraine as a function of time. Wikimedia Commons user RCraig09 / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2024-_Russian_drones_launched_against_Ukraine.svg" title="Image: Chart showing Russian number of drones (unmanned aerial vehicles) launched against Ukraine as a function of time. Wikimedia Commons user RCraig09 / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2024-_Russian_drones_launched_against_Ukraine.svg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_EdO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40b4a5ef-f67e-40e8-ae32-84edb09141c7_3840x2880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Image from Wikimedia of chart showing Russian number of drones launched against Ukraine.</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>Drone strikes have become a defining feature of the Russia-Ukraine war since the full-scale Russian invasion began in February 2022. Both sides have used unmanned aerial vehicles for reconnaissance, artillery spotting, and direct attacks on military and infrastructure targets far behind front lines. Ukraine has developed domestic drone production to target Russian cities and facilities, while Russia has relied on Iranian-supplied drones to strike Ukrainian energy and civilian sites. The evolution of drone warfare from 2022 to 2026 has shifted the conflict&#8217;s dynamics, enabling long-range operations without risking piloted aircraft or ground troops.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Background: Drone Use Before 2022</h2><p>Drones played a limited role in the Ukraine conflict before the full-scale invasion. Ukraine acquired <strong>Bayraktar TB2</strong> drones from Turkey in <strong>2019 </strong>and used them for reconnaissance in Donbas. Russia employed <strong>Orlan-10</strong> and <strong>Forpost </strong>drones for surveillance in the same region. The technology allowed both sides to monitor the contact line and direct artillery fire. Ukraine reported downing several Russian drones in <strong>2021</strong>. The use was mostly tactical, focused on the Donbas front rather than deep strikes.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg" width="1280" height="960" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:960,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:217683,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: 72nd \&quot;Black Zaporozhians\&quot; Brigade showing their quadcopter-based bomber. The inscription says: \&quot;From 72nd brigade / best wishes / love you orcs\&quot; Wikimedia Commons user Ministry of Defense of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_72nd_bde_drone_bomber_02.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185332023?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: 72nd &quot;Black Zaporozhians&quot; Brigade showing their quadcopter-based bomber. The inscription says: &quot;From 72nd brigade / best wishes / love you orcs&quot; Wikimedia Commons user Ministry of Defense of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_72nd_bde_drone_bomber_02.jpg" title="Photo: 72nd &quot;Black Zaporozhians&quot; Brigade showing their quadcopter-based bomber. The inscription says: &quot;From 72nd brigade / best wishes / love you orcs&quot; Wikimedia Commons user Ministry of Defense of Ukraine / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_72nd_bde_drone_bomber_02.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!92mh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84d64fa-fff1-4566-a9cc-2873480d417a_1280x960.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of 72nd &#8220;Black Zaporozhians&#8221; Brigade showing their quadcopter-based bomber.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Drone Warfare in 2022: Early Invasion Phase</h2><p>Russia launched the invasion on <strong>February 24, 2022</strong>. Drones were used from the outset for intelligence gathering. Russian <strong>Orlan </strong>drones scouted Ukrainian positions near Kyiv and Kharkiv. Ukraine employed <strong>Bayraktar TB2</strong> drones to strike Russian convoys and armor. Videos released by the Ukrainian military in <strong>March 2022</strong> showed TB2 strikes destroying Russian tanks and supply trucks. The drones helped slow the Russian advance toward Kyiv.</p><p>Russia began using Iranian-supplied <strong>Shahed-136</strong> drones in <strong>September 2022</strong>. The first strikes targeted Ukrainian cities, including <strong>Odesa </strong>and <strong>Mykolaiv</strong>. The low-cost drones, dubbed &#8220;kamikaze&#8221; for their one-way missions, aimed at energy infrastructure and military depots. Ukraine adapted commercial drones for combat. Quadcopters dropped grenades on Russian positions. By late 2022, Ukrainian drone strikes reached Russian-held Crimea, targeting airfields and naval facilities.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1327759,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: Vampire, Ukrainian unmanned bomber octocopter Wikimedia Commons user &#1040;&#1088;&#1084;&#1110;&#1103;&#1030;&#1085;&#1092;&#1086;&#1088;&#1084; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_Vampire_UCAV_01.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185332023?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: Vampire, Ukrainian unmanned bomber octocopter Wikimedia Commons user &#1040;&#1088;&#1084;&#1110;&#1103;&#1030;&#1085;&#1092;&#1086;&#1088;&#1084; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_Vampire_UCAV_01.jpg" title="Photo: Vampire, Ukrainian unmanned bomber octocopter Wikimedia Commons user &#1040;&#1088;&#1084;&#1110;&#1103;&#1030;&#1085;&#1092;&#1086;&#1088;&#1084; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UA_Vampire_UCAV_01.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JjYJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c59efe0-bf5f-4fd9-a4a0-bd0c139891ef_1500x1000.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of Vampire, Ukrainian unmanned bomber octocopter.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Expansion in 2023: Deep Strikes and Countermeasures</h2><p>In <strong>2023</strong>, both sides expanded drone operations. Russia increased Shahed attacks, striking Kyiv and western Ukraine. Ukrainian air defenses downed many, but some caused damage to power plants. Ukraine developed the <strong>Beaver </strong>drone for long-range missions. Strikes hit Moscow in <strong>May 2023</strong>, targeting buildings in the capital. Russian authorities reported intercepting most but acknowledged minor damage.</p><p>Russia deployed <strong>Lancet </strong>drones against Ukrainian vehicles. The loitering munitions struck tanks and artillery in <strong>Donbas</strong>. Ukraine countered with electronic warfare systems to jam drone signals. Drone production ramped up. Ukraine opened new factories for domestic UAVs. Russia signed deals with Iran for more Shaheds and began local assembly.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg" width="1456" height="1092" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1092,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:521620,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: ZALA Lancet at IDEX 2025 Wikimedia Commons user Mztourist / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ZALA_Lancet_at_IDEX_2025.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185332023?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: ZALA Lancet at IDEX 2025 Wikimedia Commons user Mztourist / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ZALA_Lancet_at_IDEX_2025.jpg" title="Photo: ZALA Lancet at IDEX 2025 Wikimedia Commons user Mztourist / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ZALA_Lancet_at_IDEX_2025.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NkkX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62501bc6-d3df-46d4-bdb6-8a7ab341ec69_1600x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of ZALA Lancet at IDEX 2025.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>2024 Innovations and Escalation</h2><p>Drone warfare intensified in <strong>2024</strong>. Ukraine used FPV drones for precision strikes on Russian troops. The low-cost devices guided by operators targeted individual soldiers and vehicles. Russia employed upgraded Shaheds with better navigation. Strikes on Ukrainian grain ports disrupted exports. Ukraine responded with attacks on Russian oil refineries in <strong>March 2024</strong>.</p><p>Both sides targeted drone production facilities. Ukrainian strikes hit Russian factories in <strong>Tatarstan</strong>. Russia bombed Ukrainian assembly sites in <strong>Lviv</strong>. The <strong>Kursk incursion</strong> in <strong>August 2024</strong> relied on drones for support. Ukrainian UAVs scouted Russian positions and struck reinforcements.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg" width="1456" height="1092" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1092,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:624044,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo: 24 OMBr ZSU - For Okhmatdyt - Chasiv Yar Wikimedia Commons user &#1054;&#1052;&#1041;&#1088; &#1047;&#1057;&#1059; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2024-07-08_-_24_OMBr_ZSU_-_For_Okhmatdyt_-_Chasiv_Yar_-_04.jpg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/185332023?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo: 24 OMBr ZSU - For Okhmatdyt - Chasiv Yar Wikimedia Commons user &#1054;&#1052;&#1041;&#1088; &#1047;&#1057;&#1059; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2024-07-08_-_24_OMBr_ZSU_-_For_Okhmatdyt_-_Chasiv_Yar_-_04.jpg" title="Photo: 24 OMBr ZSU - For Okhmatdyt - Chasiv Yar Wikimedia Commons user &#1054;&#1052;&#1041;&#1088; &#1047;&#1057;&#1059; / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2024-07-08_-_24_OMBr_ZSU_-_For_Okhmatdyt_-_Chasiv_Yar_-_04.jpg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Hji!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71f9db0e-98c5-41ae-884b-7c8d7c5b9969_1600x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo from Wikimedia of 24 OMBr ZSU - For Okhmatdyt - Chasiv Yar.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>2025&#8211;2026: Advanced Systems and Strategic Impacts</h2><p>In 2025, drone technology advanced further. Ukraine introduced the <strong>Kolibri </strong>drone for deep strikes. Attacks reached <strong>St. Petersburg</strong> in <strong>January 2025</strong>. Russia deployed the <strong>Okhotnik </strong>stealth drone. The unmanned fighter conducted missions over <strong>Donbas</strong>. Ukrainian defenses adapted with <strong>Patriot </strong>systems.</p><p>Strikes targeted leadership and critical infrastructure. Russia hit Ukrainian command centers. Ukraine attacked Russian depots in <strong>Bryansk</strong>. As of early <strong>2026</strong>, drone operations continue daily. Both sides report intercepting hundreds weekly. The technology has extended the war&#8217;s reach, affecting civilian areas far from fronts.</p><p>Drone warfare has caused thousands of casualties. United Nations estimates indicate over <strong>5,000</strong> civilian deaths from drone strikes since <strong>2022</strong>. Military losses are higher but not fully reported.</p><p>The evolution has shifted tactics. Drones reduce risks to personnel and allow persistent harassment. They have also increased the war&#8217;s cost, with billions spent on production and countermeasures.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Ukraine’s Kursk Incursion in 2024–2026: Objectives and Outcomes]]></title><description><![CDATA[Ukraine's cross-border operation into Russia's Kursk region from August 2024 to early 2026]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/ukraine-kursk-incursion-2024-2026-objectives-outcomes</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/ukraine-kursk-incursion-2024-2026-objectives-outcomes</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 20 Jan 2026 17:08:15 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Scott Burton Official (16 min read)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:955491,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined countryside, symbolizing the destructive results of war.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184899074?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined countryside, symbolizing the destructive results of war." title="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined countryside, symbolizing the destructive results of war." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YMk4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ffa6480-2466-4903-bf53-9f89ee9a92d5_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>Ukraine launched a cross-border incursion into Russia&#8217;s Kursk oblast on August 6, 2024, marking the first time since World War II that foreign forces entered Russian territory in significant numbers. The operation involved thousands of Ukrainian troops advancing into the region, capturing villages and territory in the initial phase. Ukrainian officials described it as a defensive measure to create a buffer zone and divert Russian forces from other fronts. Russian authorities called it an act of aggression and responded with a counteroffensive that regained much of the lost ground by mid-2025. The incursion continued into 2026 with limited Ukrainian-held areas and ongoing military activity.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Background and Planning</h2><p>The Kursk oblast lies along Ukraine&#8217;s northeastern border in Russia. The region has strategic importance due to its proximity to Sumy oblast in Ukraine and its role as a staging area for Russian forces operating in northern Ukraine. Before <strong>2024</strong>, both sides conducted limited cross-border actions in the area, including Ukrainian raids and Russian shelling.</p><p>Ukrainian military planning for the incursion began in early <strong>2024</strong>. President <strong>Volodymyr Zelenskyy</strong> and Commander-in-Chief <strong>Oleksandr Syrskyi</strong> authorized the operation. The stated objectives included creating a buffer zone to protect Ukrainian border communities from Russian shelling, diverting Russian reserves from Donbas, and gaining leverage in potential negotiations.</p><p>Ukraine assembled a force of approximately <strong>10,000</strong> troops, including mechanized brigades and special operations units. The operation relied on surprise and rapid movement. Ukrainian forces used drones for reconnaissance and strikes to support the ground advance.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Launch and Initial Phase (August&#8211;October 2024)</h2><p>On <strong>August 6, 2024</strong>, Ukrainian forces crossed the border at multiple points near Sudzha and other border towns. They advanced quickly, capturing Sudzha and several villages within days. By mid-August, Ukrainian troops controlled approximately <strong>1,000</strong> square kilometers of Russian territory.</p><p>Russian defenses in the area were light, with limited regular troops and mostly border guard units. Ukrainian forces seized military equipment, ammunition depots, and administrative buildings. They established defensive positions and set up checkpoints.</p><p>Ukrainian officials reported capturing Russian soldiers and destroying military assets. Zelenskyy described the operation as a success in shifting Russian attention away from Donbas. Russian authorities acknowledged the incursion and began redeploying forces to the region.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png" width="1456" height="1561" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1561,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:692161,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image: Kursk front of the Russo Ukrainian War. Wikimedia Commons user SaintPaulOfTarsus / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kursk_front_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War.svg.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184899074?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image: Kursk front of the Russo Ukrainian War. Wikimedia Commons user SaintPaulOfTarsus / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kursk_front_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War.svg." title="Image: Kursk front of the Russo Ukrainian War. Wikimedia Commons user SaintPaulOfTarsus / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kursk_front_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War.svg." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-iqC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b1686e7-221c-4dbd-9be9-4a7cbc289903_1920x2058.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Kursk front of the Russo Ukrainian War.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Russian Counteroffensive (Late 2024&#8211;2025)</h2><p>Russia responded by transferring units from other fronts to Kursk. In September <strong>2024</strong>, Russian forces launched counterattacks supported by artillery and air strikes. They recaptured several villages and pushed Ukrainian troops back from some positions.</p><p>Fighting intensified in October and November <strong>2024</strong>. Russian troops used glide bombs and drones to target Ukrainian supply lines. Ukrainian forces maintained control of Sudzha and surrounding areas but faced increasing pressure.</p><p>By early <strong>2025</strong>, Russian forces regained approximately <strong>60 percent</strong> of the territory Ukraine had taken. Ukrainian troops withdrew from some positions but held a reduced area around Sudzha. Both sides reported heavy casualties.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg" width="1280" height="853" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:853,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:268445,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;PHOTO: A soldier of the 80th Separate Galician Air Assault Brigade told how they managed to capture an advanced Russian T-90M Proryv tank in the Kursk region. Wikimedia Commons Roman Pilipey / CC BY-SA 4.0  https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_80th_Air_Assault_Brigade_captured_a_T-90M_Proryv_tank_in_the_Kursk_region.jpg.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184899074?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="PHOTO: A soldier of the 80th Separate Galician Air Assault Brigade told how they managed to capture an advanced Russian T-90M Proryv tank in the Kursk region. Wikimedia Commons Roman Pilipey / CC BY-SA 4.0  https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_80th_Air_Assault_Brigade_captured_a_T-90M_Proryv_tank_in_the_Kursk_region.jpg." title="PHOTO: A soldier of the 80th Separate Galician Air Assault Brigade told how they managed to capture an advanced Russian T-90M Proryv tank in the Kursk region. Wikimedia Commons Roman Pilipey / CC BY-SA 4.0  https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_80th_Air_Assault_Brigade_captured_a_T-90M_Proryv_tank_in_the_Kursk_region.jpg." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wpWa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c1e796c-1e65-49b8-a15c-5bb4a422bea5_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">A soldier of the 80th Separate Galician Air Assault Brigade told how they managed to capture an advanced Russian T-90M Proryv tank in the Kursk region.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Outcomes and Status in 2026</h2><p>The Kursk incursion achieved some of its objectives in the early phase. Ukraine created a temporary buffer zone, diverted Russian reserves from Donbas, and demonstrated the ability to conduct offensive operations on Russian soil. The operation also resulted in prisoner exchanges, with Ukraine securing the return of several hundred soldiers.</p><p>However, Russia recaptured most of the territory by mid-<strong>2025</strong>. As of early <strong>2026</strong>, Ukrainian forces hold a small area near the border, estimated at <strong>200&#8211;300 square kilometers</strong>. Russian authorities have rebuilt infrastructure in recaptured areas and increased security along the border.</p><p>The incursion had diplomatic effects. It complicated peace talks and led to Russian statements about revising negotiating positions. Ukraine maintained that the operation was defensive and necessary to protect its territory.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg" width="1024" height="576" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:576,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:192291,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;PHOTO: Damaged house in the Kursk region after Ukrainian attacks. Published by acting governor Alexei Smirnov on Telegram. Wikimedia Commons Unknown author / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://cdn5.vedomosti.ru/image/2024/65/vbhqn/original-14l8.jpg.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184899074?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="PHOTO: Damaged house in the Kursk region after Ukrainian attacks. Published by acting governor Alexei Smirnov on Telegram. Wikimedia Commons Unknown author / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://cdn5.vedomosti.ru/image/2024/65/vbhqn/original-14l8.jpg." title="PHOTO: Damaged house in the Kursk region after Ukrainian attacks. Published by acting governor Alexei Smirnov on Telegram. Wikimedia Commons Unknown author / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://cdn5.vedomosti.ru/image/2024/65/vbhqn/original-14l8.jpg." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!38_a!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab0b6022-d62d-4d01-8708-8a18f0d5b1aa_1024x576.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Damaged house in the Kursk region after Ukrainian attacks.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>NATO&#8217;s Response</h2><p>NATO member states expressed concern over the escalation of the conflict but did not condemn Ukraine&#8217;s actions. The alliance stated that Ukraine has the right to defend itself and conduct operations to counter Russian aggression. NATO Secretary General <strong>Jens Stoltenberg</strong> said in August <strong>2024 </strong>that the incursion was a legitimate defensive measure and that NATO would continue to support Ukraine with military aid.</p><p>Several NATO countries increased deliveries of weapons and ammunition to Ukraine following the operation. The alliance held emergency consultations but did not activate Article 5 or deploy troops to the region. NATO emphasized that it is a defensive organization and that its support for Ukraine does not include direct participation in combat.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg" width="940" height="580" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:580,&quot;width&quot;:940,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:117066,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;PHOTO: President Vladimir Putin talks with the governor of Kursk on the situation regarding the Ukrainian invasion of the south of the oblast. The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184899074?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="PHOTO: President Vladimir Putin talks with the governor of Kursk on the situation regarding the Ukrainian invasion of the south of the oblast. The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru." title="PHOTO: President Vladimir Putin talks with the governor of Kursk on the situation regarding the Ukrainian invasion of the south of the oblast. The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1x1b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d1c640a-35d0-4201-a9e3-fc8bbc9298f0_940x580.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">President Vladimir Putin talks with the governor of Kursk on the situation regarding the Ukrainian invasion of the south of the oblast.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>United States&#8217; Response</h2><p>The United States described the Kursk incursion as an internal Ukrainian military decision. U.S. officials stated that Ukraine has the right to defend its territory and conduct operations to protect its population from Russian attacks. The White House said in August <strong>2024 </strong>that the operation did not change U.S. policy on providing aid to Ukraine.</p><p>The Biden administration continued to approve military assistance packages, including artillery shells, air defense systems, and long-range weapons. The United States did not impose restrictions on Ukraine&#8217;s use of U.S.-supplied weapons for cross-border operations in response to the Kursk incursion.</p><p>In <strong>2025 </strong>and <strong>2026</strong>, the United States maintained its position that Ukraine&#8217;s actions were defensive and that Russia bore responsibility for the escalation of the conflict.</p><div><hr></div><h2>International Reactions</h2><p>The United States and NATO allies expressed concern over escalation but did not condemn the operation. Russia accused Ukraine of terrorism and threatened retaliation. The incursion received mixed coverage in global media. Some reports highlighted Ukraine&#8217;s tactical success in <strong>2024</strong>, while others focused on Russian counterattacks and territorial recovery.</p><p>The operation remains active in <strong>2026</strong>, with periodic clashes along the border. Both sides continue to report military activity in the region.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Vladimir Putin: From Leningrad Childhood to Leadership in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict]]></title><description><![CDATA[Profile of Russian President Vladimir Putin from his early years in Leningrad through his KGB career and role in the ongoing conflict]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/vladimir-putin-profile-childhood-kgb-leadership-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/vladimir-putin-profile-childhood-kgb-leadership-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 16:55:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Scott Burton Official (18 min read)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg" width="1456" height="898" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:898,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:780925,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Putin at the plenary session of the 10th Eastern Economic Forum September 5, 2025 Russky Island, Primorye Territory (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184690634?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Putin at the plenary session of the 10th Eastern Economic Forum September 5, 2025 Russky Island, Primorye Territory (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)." title="Putin at the plenary session of the 10th Eastern Economic Forum September 5, 2025 Russky Island, Primorye Territory (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tFhG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2eac8d0c-c0e8-4557-94a5-0a3d4e7973c4_1880x1160.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin has served as president of Russia since May 7, 2012, after previously holding the office from 2000 to 2008 and serving as prime minister from 2008 to 2012. He has led Russia during the full-scale invasion of Ukraine that began in February 2022. Before entering politics, Putin spent 15 years in the KGB and its successor agency, rising through the ranks of Soviet and post-Soviet intelligence.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Childhood and Early Years</h2><p>Putin was born on <strong>October 7, 1952</strong>, in <strong>Leningrad </strong>(now <strong>St. Petersburg</strong>), then part of the Soviet Union. His father, <strong>Vladimir Spiridonovich Putin</strong>, was a factory worker and a veteran of the Soviet Navy who served in the submarine fleet during World War II. His mother, <strong>Maria Ivanovna Putina</strong>, worked in a factory and as a cleaning woman. Putin was the youngest of three sons; his two older brothers died in childhood, one during the <strong>Siege of Leningrad</strong> and the other from diphtheria.</p><p>The family lived in a communal apartment in Leningrad, sharing a single room with two other families. Putin grew up in a working-class neighborhood known for its rough conditions. He trained in judo and sambo from age <strong>12</strong> and earned a black belt in judo. He has described his childhood as shaped by the post-war hardships of Leningrad and the discipline of martial arts.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg" width="1834" height="1376" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1376,&quot;width&quot;:1834,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:562660,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Vladimir Putin at elementary school age (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_as_a_child.jpg.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184690634?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c418eb2-d797-449a-8713-65ae2b5e0929_1834x3054.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Vladimir Putin at elementary school age (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_as_a_child.jpg." title="Vladimir Putin at elementary school age (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_as_a_child.jpg." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Lg9_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7d2b2c6-58f0-449c-a1a3-8770e77459a4_1834x1376.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Education</h2><p>Putin graduated from secondary school in <strong>1970</strong>. He enrolled at <strong>Leningrad State University</strong> (now <strong>Saint Petersburg State University</strong>) and studied law, earning a degree in <strong>1975</strong>. His thesis focused on international law and the role of the state. During university, Putin joined the Communist Party of the Soviet Union and participated in Komsomol activities.</p><div><hr></div><h2>KGB Career</h2><p>After graduation, Putin joined the <strong>KGB </strong>in <strong>1975</strong>. He underwent training at the <strong>Andropov Red Banner Institute</strong> in Moscow and served in the counterintelligence directorate in Leningrad. In <strong>1985</strong>, he was posted to Dresden, East Germany, where he worked in foreign intelligence, monitoring dissidents and Western contacts.</p><p>Putin remained in Dresden until <strong>1990</strong>, when he returned to Leningrad amid the collapse of East Germany and the Soviet bloc. He resigned from the KGB in <strong>1991 </strong>with the rank of lieutenant colonel. He has stated that his KGB service taught him discipline, loyalty, and operational skills.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png" width="1456" height="1008" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1008,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3191589,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Vladimir Putin's Stasi identification card. He was assigned as a KGB agent in Dresden, as a mid-level liaison to the \&quot;Stasi\&quot; (East German intelligence agency) in 1985. He held a job as a translator as a \&quot;cover\&quot; for his KGB work. &quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184690634?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Vladimir Putin's Stasi identification card. He was assigned as a KGB agent in Dresden, as a mid-level liaison to the &quot;Stasi&quot; (East German intelligence agency) in 1985. He held a job as a translator as a &quot;cover&quot; for his KGB work. " title="Vladimir Putin's Stasi identification card. He was assigned as a KGB agent in Dresden, as a mid-level liaison to the &quot;Stasi&quot; (East German intelligence agency) in 1985. He held a job as a translator as a &quot;cover&quot; for his KGB work. " srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g6sJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe57c3f21-93bb-4491-865c-3cad15aba69f_1552x1074.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Putin KGB - Wikimedia Commons user Ministerium f&#252;r Staatssicherheit der DDR / CC BY-SA 4.0</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Rise to Power</h2><p>In <strong>1990</strong>, Putin joined the administration of <strong>Anatoly Sobchak</strong>, mayor of Leningrad (later St. Petersburg). He served as Sobchak&#8217;s advisor on international relations and later as deputy mayor responsible for external affairs. In <strong>1996</strong>, after Sobchak lost re-election, Putin moved to Moscow and joined the presidential administration under <strong>Boris Yeltsin</strong>.</p><p>In <strong>1998</strong>, Putin was appointed director of the <strong>FSB </strong>(Federal Security Service), the KGB&#8217;s successor agency. In <strong>August 1999</strong>, Yeltsin named him prime minister. When Yeltsin resigned on <strong>December 31, 1999</strong>, Putin became acting president. He won the presidential election in <strong>March 2000</strong> with <strong>53</strong> percent of the vote.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Early Presidency and Consolidation of Power</h2><p>Putin served his first two terms from <strong>2000 </strong>to <strong>2008</strong>. He oversaw economic recovery driven by rising oil prices and implemented centralization measures. He restructured regional governance, limited opposition media, and strengthened control over parliament. In <strong>2008</strong>, constitutional term limits prevented a third consecutive term, so Putin became prime minister under President <strong>Dmitry Medvedev</strong>.</p><p>Putin returned to the presidency in <strong>2012 </strong>after winning the election with <strong>63.6</strong> percent of the vote. He faced protests over alleged electoral fraud and responded with laws restricting demonstrations.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Relationship with the Russian People</h2><p>Putin maintains high approval ratings among the Russian population. State polls consistently show support above <strong>70 percent</strong>, with peaks during national crises or military actions. Independent surveys indicate lower but still substantial support, particularly among older and rural voters.</p><p>His public image emphasizes strength, patriotism, and stability. He has cultivated a persona through judo demonstrations, outdoor activities, and state media portrayals. Critics point to restrictions on opposition and independent media as factors influencing public opinion.</p><p>As of <strong>2026</strong>, public opinion polls in Russia continue to show strong support for Putin, particularly in relation to the conflict in Ukraine. State media portray the operation as a necessary defense of national interests.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg" width="1456" height="898" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:898,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:295479,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Putin touring yurts at the Ala Archa state residence November 26, 2025 Bishkek (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184690634?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Putin touring yurts at the Ala Archa state residence November 26, 2025 Bishkek (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)." title="Putin touring yurts at the Ala Archa state residence November 26, 2025 Bishkek (The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ra-V!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1b65657-9278-455f-bcfd-8d074556b4c1_1880x1160.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Relationship with NATO</h2><p>Putin has consistently opposed NATO enlargement since the late 1990s. He has described the alliance&#8217;s eastward expansion as a threat to Russian security. In <strong>2007</strong>, he delivered a speech at the Munich Security Conference criticizing NATO and U.S. unilateralism. Russia suspended participation in the Conventional Forces in Europe treaty in <strong>2007 </strong>and withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces treaty in <strong>2019</strong>.</p><p>In <strong>2021 </strong>and <strong>2022</strong>, Putin demanded legal guarantees against further NATO expansion and removal of alliance infrastructure from countries that joined after <strong>1997</strong>. NATO has stated that it is a defensive alliance and that enlargement is driven by sovereign decisions of member states.</p><p>As of <strong>2026</strong>, Putin continues to cite NATO expansion as a primary cause of the conflict in Ukraine. He has stated that Russia&#8217;s security concerns remain unresolved.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Relationship with Donald Trump</h2><p>Putin and Trump have had multiple interactions since <strong>2016</strong>. Trump expressed admiration for Putin&#8217;s leadership style during his first term. The two leaders met several times, including at the <strong>Helsinki summit</strong> in <strong>2018</strong>. Trump has described Putin as &#8220;smart&#8221; and &#8220;strong,&#8221; while Putin has called Trump a &#8220;bright person.&#8221;</p><p>Relations were complicated by U.S. sanctions on Russia, investigations into election interference, and differing positions on Ukraine. Trump has stated he would seek to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine if re-elected.</p><p>In <strong>2025 </strong>and <strong>2026</strong>, Trump engaged directly with Putin on the conflict. Putin informed Trump of an alleged Ukrainian drone attack on his Valdai residence in late <strong>December 2025</strong>. Trump described the claim as serious and expressed anger, stating it complicated negotiations but did not halt efforts.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp" width="1200" height="927" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:927,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:40776,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official White House photo of Trump with Putin in Alaska, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184690634?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official White House photo of Trump with Putin in Alaska, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." title="Official White House photo of Trump with Putin in Alaska, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VAjS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b66f958-41b5-4d78-86fb-a8b7bf5abfeb_1200x927.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official White House photo of Trump with Putin in Alaska, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov).</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Relationship with Volodymyr Zelenskyy</h2><p>Putin and Zelenskyy have had limited direct contact. Zelenskyy campaigned in <strong>2019 </strong>on ending the war in Donbas through negotiations. The two leaders met in the Normandy Format in <strong>2019 </strong>and <strong>2020</strong>, resulting in prisoner exchanges and partial disengagements.</p><p>After the <strong>2022 </strong>invasion, Putin has refused direct talks with Zelenskyy, stating that Ukraine&#8217;s leadership lacks legitimacy. Zelenskyy has maintained that negotiations require Russian withdrawal from occupied territories.</p><p>In <strong>2025 </strong>and <strong>2026</strong>, no direct meetings have occurred. Putin has stated that Russia&#8217;s objectives in Ukraine remain unchanged.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Current Role and Challenges</h2><p>Putin directs Russia&#8217;s military and diplomatic efforts in the ongoing conflict in <strong>2026</strong>. He has stated that the operation in Ukraine will continue until its objectives are achieved. Russia faces international sanctions and economic pressure while maintaining domestic stability.</p><p>Putin has continually emphasized national sovereignty and resistance to Western influence as guiding principles of his leadership.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Battle for Donbas: Russian Gains and Ukrainian Defenses from 2022 to 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[Overview of the central theater of the Russia-Ukraine conflict since the 2022 escalation]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/battle-donbas-russian-gains-ukrainian-defenses-2022-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/battle-donbas-russian-gains-ukrainian-defenses-2022-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 17:40:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Scott Burton Official</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/abe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:659467,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of a row of identical gravestones stretching into the distance, symbolizing the enormous human cost and attrition suffered by both sides.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184149170?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of a row of identical gravestones stretching into the distance, symbolizing the enormous human cost and attrition suffered by both sides." title="AI-generated illustration of a row of identical gravestones stretching into the distance, symbolizing the enormous human cost and attrition suffered by both sides." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPtf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fabe19c74-1c56-4da7-8708-12ba8c2f724f_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>The Donbas region of eastern Ukraine has been the central theater of the Russia-Ukraine conflict since 2014. Following Russia&#8217;s annexation of Crimea that year, fighting erupted in Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, where pro-Russian separatists declared independence as the Donetsk People&#8217;s Republic and Luhansk People&#8217;s Republic. The conflict simmered for eight years under intermittent ceasefires before Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion in February 2022 escalated the battle for Donbas into the most intense and prolonged phase of the war.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Background: The Donbas Conflict Since 2014</h2><p>In <strong>April 2014</strong>, armed groups seized government buildings in several cities in <strong>Donetsk </strong>and <strong>Luhansk </strong>oblasts. They proclaimed the <strong>Donetsk People&#8217;s Republic</strong> and <strong>Luhansk People&#8217;s Republic</strong>. Ukraine launched military operations to regain control the same month. Russian forces and equipment supported the separatists, though Russia denied direct involvement at the time.</p><p>Ceasefire agreements known as <strong>Minsk I</strong> and <strong>Minsk II</strong> were signed in <strong>September 2014</strong> and <strong>February 2015</strong>. Both agreements called for withdrawal of heavy weapons, prisoner exchanges, and political steps toward autonomy for the regions within Ukraine. Violations continued on both sides, and low-intensity fighting persisted along a contact line dividing government and separatist-held areas. The <strong>OSCE </strong>monitored the line, reporting thousands of ceasefire violations annually.</p><p>By early <strong>2022</strong>, the conflict had claimed approximately <strong>14,000</strong> lives, including civilians, according to <strong>United Nations</strong> estimates. The region remained divided, with Russian-backed separatists controlling parts of <strong>Donetsk </strong>and <strong>Luhansk </strong>oblasts.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg" width="1456" height="969" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:969,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1960113,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Photo from Wikimedia of Normandy formal talks in Minsk (February 2015): Alexander Lukashenko, Vladimir Putin, Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, and Petro Poroshenko take part in the talks on a settlement to the situation in Ukraine. The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru  https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Normandy_format_talks_in_Minsk_(February_2015)_03.jpeg&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184149170?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Photo from Wikimedia of Normandy formal talks in Minsk (February 2015): Alexander Lukashenko, Vladimir Putin, Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, and Petro Poroshenko take part in the talks on a settlement to the situation in Ukraine. The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru  https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Normandy_format_talks_in_Minsk_(February_2015)_03.jpeg" title="Photo from Wikimedia of Normandy formal talks in Minsk (February 2015): Alexander Lukashenko, Vladimir Putin, Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, and Petro Poroshenko take part in the talks on a settlement to the situation in Ukraine. The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office / kermlin.ru  https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Normandy_format_talks_in_Minsk_(February_2015)_03.jpeg" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8B-s!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0089dc1a-2f44-4e55-9d72-32454903f282_4235x2819.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Normandy formal talks in Minsk (February 2015): Alexander Lukashenko, Vladimir Putin, Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, and Petro Poroshenko take part in the talks on a settlement to the situation in Ukraine.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>The 2022 Escalation in Donbas</h2><p>Russia launched its full-scale invasion on <strong>February 24, 2022</strong>. In <strong>Donbas</strong>, Russian forces and separatist units advanced from the east and north. Fighting intensified around key cities including <strong>Severodonetsk</strong>, <strong>Lysychansk</strong>, and <strong>Popasna</strong>.</p><p>Russian artillery and air support played a major role. Ukrainian defenses held initial positions but faced heavy bombardment. In <strong>May </strong>and J<strong>une 2022</strong>, Russian forces captured <strong>Severodonetsk </strong>after weeks of urban combat. <strong>Lysychansk </strong>fell in <strong>July</strong>, giving Russia control of most of <strong>Luhansk </strong>oblast.</p><p>The battle for <strong>Donbas </strong>in <strong>2022 </strong>involved large-scale artillery duels and trench warfare. Both sides suffered significant casualties. Ukraine conducted limited counterattacks but focused on holding key defensive lines.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png" width="1456" height="980" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:980,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:975943,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image: Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War Wikimedia Commons user Viewsridge / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg. &quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184149170?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image: Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War Wikimedia Commons user Viewsridge / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg. " title="Image: Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War Wikimedia Commons user Viewsridge / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg. " srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d8fi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd8ebbcc-8fc7-4a1e-ac2a-f98a094e99c2_3840x2584.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Location of Donbas in Ukraine.</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Russian Gains in 2023 and 2024</h2><p>In <strong>2023</strong>, Russian forces continued incremental advances in <strong>Donbas</strong>. They captured <strong>Bakhmut </strong>in <strong>May </strong>after months of fighting that became one of the longest and bloodiest battles of the war. Ukrainian forces withdrew from the city after heavy losses on both sides.</p><p>Russian gains slowed in mid-<strong>2023 </strong>as Ukraine prepared a major counteroffensive. The counteroffensive in summer <strong>2023 </strong>achieved limited territorial recovery in western <strong>Donetsk </strong>oblast but did not break through Russian defensive lines.</p><p>In <strong>2024</strong>, Russian forces renewed pressure. They advanced toward <strong>Pokrovsk </strong>and other logistical hubs in <strong>Donetsk </strong>oblast. Ukrainian defenses held the line in several areas but withdrew from some positions under sustained pressure.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Ukrainian Defenses and Adaptations</h2><p>Ukrainian forces maintained fortified positions along the contact line. They used trench networks, minefields, and artillery to slow Russian advances. Western-supplied weapons, including <strong>HIMARS</strong> and long-range artillery, targeted Russian supply lines and command posts.</p><p>Ukraine conducted limited counterattacks and used drones extensively for reconnaissance and strikes. Territorial defense units and mobilized reserves supported regular army forces.</p><p>The defense strategy focused on attrition, inflicting casualties on advancing Russian units while conserving manpower and equipment for future operations.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Developments in 2025 and 2026</h2><p>In <strong>2025</strong>, Russian forces continued gradual advances in <strong>Donbas</strong>. They captured additional villages and approached key transportation nodes. Ukrainian defenses held major cities but faced challenges from Russian numerical superiority and artillery volume.</p><p>Both sides conducted long-range strikes on infrastructure and military targets. Russia increased use of glide bombs and drones. Ukraine expanded drone production and used them for deep strikes.</p><p>As of early <strong>2026</strong>, the front line in <strong>Donbas </strong>remains active. Russian forces hold approximately <strong>80 percent</strong> of <strong>Donetsk </strong>oblast and most of <strong>Luhansk </strong>oblast. Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions in remaining areas. Peace talks have not produced a ceasefire in the region.</p><p>The battle for <strong>Donbas </strong>continues to shape the broader conflict, with both sides committing significant resources to the area.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png" width="1456" height="979" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:979,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2309297,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image: Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War Wikimedia Commons user Viewsridge / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg. &quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/184149170?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image: Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War Wikimedia Commons user Viewsridge / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg. " title="Image: Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War Wikimedia Commons user Viewsridge / CC BY-SA 4.0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg. " srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eAA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb923bb1-e29c-402c-b951-63d8f7b8c8d8_2560x1721.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting on 24 February 2022 , part of Russo-Ukrainian War.</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The 2022 Russian Invasion: Causes, Initial Advances, and Ukrainian Resistance]]></title><description><![CDATA[Full timeline of the February 2022 invasion, Russian stated causes, early advances, and Ukrainian response. Straight facts, no spin.]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/2022-russian-invasion-ukraine-causes-advances-resistance</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/2022-russian-invasion-ukraine-causes-advances-resistance</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2026 17:50:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg" width="1280" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:234948,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of Russian military trucks, symbolizing the start of the invasion.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183930417?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of Russian military trucks, symbolizing the start of the invasion." title="AI-generated illustration of Russian military trucks, symbolizing the start of the invasion." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ui4N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27f1e8e0-75b5-43cf-af6e-b91304098103_1280x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>MOSCOW &#8212; Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, with forces advancing from Belarus in the north, Russia in the east, and occupied Crimea in the south. President Vladimir Putin announced the operation in a televised address early that morning, describing it as a &#8220;special military operation&#8221; to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine and protect people in Donbas. Russian troops crossed the border at multiple points, and air strikes hit military targets across the country. The invasion followed months of troop buildup and failed diplomatic efforts to address Russian security concerns.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Preceding Events and Russian Stated Causes</h2><p>Russia massed more than <strong>100,000</strong> troops near Ukraine&#8217;s borders throughout <strong>2021</strong>. Putin demanded written guarantees that NATO would not expand eastward and would remove infrastructure from countries that joined after <strong>1997</strong>. Negotiations with the United States and NATO in January 2022 produced no agreement. Russia conducted joint exercises with Belarus and increased forces along the border.</p><p>On <strong>February 21, 2022</strong>, Putin recognized the Donetsk People&#8217;s Republic and Luhansk People&#8217;s Republic as independent states. He signed mutual assistance treaties with their leaders. Russian forces entered those areas the same day. Putin cited protection of Russian speakers in Donbas from alleged genocide, prevention of Ukraine becoming a NATO base, and reversal of alliance expansion as reasons for the operation. He claimed the action would be limited and not aimed at occupying Ukraine.</p><p>The invasion followed eight years of conflict in Donbas after Russia&#8217;s annexation of Crimea in <strong>2014</strong>. Ceasefire agreements known as Minsk I and Minsk II had been signed in <strong>2014 </strong>and <strong>2015</strong>, but violations continued on both sides.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:624240,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of the Russian Kremlin and its grounds.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183930417?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of the Russian Kremlin and its grounds." title="AI-generated illustration of the Russian Kremlin and its grounds." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rl6l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14d270b8-edcc-4ad1-befa-ae6530fadfe3_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Initial Russian Advances</h2><p>Russian ground forces advanced from three main directions on February 24. From Belarus, columns moved south toward Kyiv, aiming to encircle the capital. From the east, troops pushed into Kharkiv and Donbas regions. From Crimea, forces advanced north toward Kherson and east toward Mariupol.</p><p>Air and missile strikes targeted Ukrainian air defenses, command centers, and airfields. Russian airborne units attempted to seize Hostomel airport northwest of Kyiv on the first day. Naval forces blockaded Ukraine&#8217;s Black Sea coast.</p><p>By early March, Russian forces captured Kherson, the first major city to fall. They encircled Mariupol and advanced toward Zaporizhzhia. In the north, a large convoy approached Kyiv but faced supply delays.</p><p>Russian advances continued in the south, reaching the outskirts of Mykolaiv and threatening Odessa. In the east, fighting intensified around Donetsk and Luhansk.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:580138,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of a shadow of an eagle cast over a wheat field, symbolizing expansion/threat to sovereignty.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183930417?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of a shadow of an eagle cast over a wheat field, symbolizing expansion/threat to sovereignty." title="AI-generated illustration of a shadow of an eagle cast over a wheat field, symbolizing expansion/threat to sovereignty." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gPZM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe22abf30-3dbc-47cb-bf20-61b26151a8b0_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Ukrainian Response and Early Resistance</h2><p>President <strong>Volodymyr Zelenskyy</strong> declared martial law on February 24 and ordered general mobilization. Ukrainian forces engaged Russian columns at multiple points. Defenses held in most major cities, including Kharkiv despite heavy shelling.</p><p>Civilians received weapons distribution in Kyiv and other cities. Territorial defense units formed rapidly. Ukrainian air defenses and aircraft remained operational in the opening weeks. Bayraktar drones struck Russian armor.</p><p>International support began immediately. The United States and allies imposed sanctions and provided military aid, including anti-tank weapons.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:541153,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of a single candle flame flickering in strong wind, symbolizing Ukrainian resistance/defiance.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183930417?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of a single candle flame flickering in strong wind, symbolizing Ukrainian resistance/defiance." title="AI-generated illustration of a single candle flame flickering in strong wind, symbolizing Ukrainian resistance/defiance." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IaI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa9856a1-0e25-459f-9a7c-8e76baa87f8c_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Stalemate and Shift in Focus</h2><p>Russian advances toward Kyiv slowed by mid-March. Ukrainian forces counterattacked around the capital. Russia withdrew from northern regions in early April, redeploying to eastern and southern Ukraine.</p><p>Fighting intensified in Donbas. Russian forces captured most of Luhansk oblast by July 2022. Mariupol fell in May after a prolonged siege of the Azovstal steel plant.</p><p>Ukraine launched counteroffensives in the fall. Forces recaptured Kharkiv oblast territory in September 2022. A counteroffensive in Kherson oblast led to Russian withdrawal from the city in November 2022.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Developments from 2023 to 2025</h2><p>The front line stabilized along a roughly <strong>1,000-kilometer</strong> contact line by late 2022. Russia conducted partial mobilization in September 2022. Ukraine received advanced Western weapons systems, including artillery and air defense.</p><p>Both sides carried out long-range strikes on infrastructure and military targets. Russia annexed four Ukrainian regions in September 2022 following referendums not recognized internationally.</p><p>Fighting continued in Donbas with Russian gains in certain areas. Ukrainian defenses held key positions.</p><p>In 2024&#8211;2025, Ukraine conducted an incursion into Russia&#8217;s Kursk oblast. Objectives included creating a buffer zone and diverting Russian forces. Outcomes included temporary control of territory but eventual Russian counteractions.</p><p>Drone warfare evolved significantly. Both sides conducted strikes deep into enemy territory, targeting energy infrastructure, military bases, and production facilities.</p><div><hr></div><h2>International Response and Aid</h2><p>Western countries imposed sanctions on Russia. The United States and allies provided military and financial assistance to Ukraine. Aid included weapons, training, and intelligence.</p><p>NATO increased presence in eastern member states but did not enforce a no-fly zone or deploy troops in Ukraine.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>The 2022 Russian invasion marked a major escalation in the conflict that began in 2014. Initial advances gave way to prolonged fighting, with significant developments in Donbas, Kursk, and drone operations through 2025. The war has continued into 2026 with unresolved issues.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1536,&quot;width&quot;:2752,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:780479,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of an empty road stretching into distance with a storm ahead, symbolizing ongoing developments and uncertainty.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183930417?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c643f3d-2581-46b8-bb52-0ac98a799a5c_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of an empty road stretching into distance with a storm ahead, symbolizing ongoing developments and uncertainty." title="AI-generated illustration of an empty road stretching into distance with a storm ahead, symbolizing ongoing developments and uncertainty." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jpw-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06229c3f-4ad5-4757-882b-50357f9511f5_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Volodymyr Zelenskyy: From Comedian to President]]></title><description><![CDATA[By Scott Burton Official for TrumpTrain.net (12 min read)]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/volodymyr-zelenskyy-profile-comedian-to-president</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/volodymyr-zelenskyy-profile-comedian-to-president</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 03:10:07 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg" width="1043" height="695" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:695,&quot;width&quot;:1043,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:158339,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183739473?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)." title="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!focD!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1051e4e6-4a07-4864-870a-e45851297882_1043x695.jpeg 424w, 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stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>KYIV &#8212; Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskyy, born in 1978 in the industrial city of Kryvyi Rih, has served as president of Ukraine since May 20, 2019, leading the country through a full-scale Russian invasion that began in February 2022. Before entering politics, he spent two decades building a career as a comedian, actor, producer, and entertainment executive. </strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Childhood and Early Years</h2><p>Zelenskyy was born on January 25, 1978, in <strong>Kryvyi Rih</strong>, an industrial city in central Ukraine then part of the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. His father, <strong>Oleksandr Zelenskyy</strong>, was a professor of cybernetics and computing hardware who headed the department at Kryvyi Rih Institute of Economics. His mother, <strong>Rymma Zelenska</strong>, worked as an engineer. The family lived in a typical Soviet apartment block. Zelenskyy attended School No. 95 in Kryvyi Rih, where he studied in Russian-language classes. He spent part of his childhood in <strong>Mongolia </strong>when his father worked on a mining project in <strong>Erdenet</strong>, attending a local school for four years before the family returned to Ukraine. As a teenager, Zelenskyy trained in amateur boxing and wrestling and participated in school theater productions.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Education</h2><p>Zelenskyy graduated from secondary school in <strong>1995 </strong>and enrolled at Kryvyi Rih Institute of Economics, a branch of <strong>Kyiv National Economic University</strong>. He studied law and earned a degree in <strong>2000</strong>. He did not practice law professionally but used the qualification for business registration in entertainment. During university, Zelenskyy performed comedy and joined a local <strong>KVN </strong>team, a Soviet-era comedy competition format. His team, known as <strong>Zaporizhzhia-Kryvyi Rih-Transit</strong>, advanced through regional competitions.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Early Career in Comedy</h2><p>After graduation, Zelenskyy worked full-time in comedy and became a member of Kvartal 95, a comedy troupe founded in 1997. The group competed in KVN&#8217;s major league from <strong>1998 </strong>to <strong>2003 </strong>and toured former Soviet states. In 2003,<strong> Kvartal 95</strong> began producing its own television content, with Zelenskyy serving as artistic director, writer, and performer. The troupe launched concert tours and television specials. In <strong>2005</strong>, Kvartal 95 partnered with Ukrainian channel <strong>1+1</strong>, and Zelenskyy produced and starred in comedy shows, including &#8220;<strong>Evening Quarter,</strong>&#8221; a sketch program that aired regularly.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Rise in Television and Film</h2><p>Kvartal 95 produced television content, and Zelenskyy starred in feature films, including &#8220;Love in the Big City&#8221; in <strong>2009</strong>, &#8220;Love in the Big City 2&#8221; in <strong>2010</strong>, and &#8220;8 First Dates&#8221; in <strong>2012</strong>. The films aired in Ukraine and Russia. In <strong>2015</strong>, Kvartal 95 premiered &#8220;<strong>Servant of the Peopl</strong>e,&#8221; a political satire series in which Zelenskyy played a teacher who becomes president after a rant against corruption. The show ran for three seasons through 2019 on 1+1. Zelenskyy voiced characters in Ukrainian dubs of films. His production company, Studio Kvartal 95, operated as an entertainment business in Ukraine.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Entry into Politics</h2><p>On <strong>December 31, 2018</strong>, Zelenskyy announced his candidacy for president during a New Year&#8217;s Eve program on 1+1. He registered the Servant of the People party, named after his television series. His campaign focused on anti-corruption measures, direct democracy, and ending the war in Donbas. He presented himself as an outsider to established politicians. Zelenskyy placed first in the election on <strong>March 31, 2019</strong>, with 30 percent of the vote and defeated incumbent Petro Poroshenko in the runoff on <strong>April 21</strong>, receiving 73 percent.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fE5X!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fE5X!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg 424w, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:695,&quot;width&quot;:1043,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:100527,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183739473?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)." title="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fE5X!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fE5X!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fE5X!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fE5X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ad00aeb-ad54-4da6-aec4-bfb545080fb3_1043x695.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Inauguration and Early Presidency</h2><p>Zelenskyy was inaugurated on <strong>May 20, 2019</strong>. He dissolved parliament and called snap elections. Servant of the People won a majority in <strong>July 2019</strong> parliamentary elections. Early actions included anti-corruption legislation, land market reform, and negotiations in Donbas. He participated in Normandy Format talks with Russia, France, and Germany. The 2019 Trump-Zelenskyy phone call became public during U.S. impeachment proceedings.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Relations with the United States</h2><p>Zelenskyy&#8217;s interactions with the United States began early in his presidency. A<strong> July 25, 2019</strong>, phone call with President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> was released during U.S. impeachment proceedings. Trump asked Zelenskyy to investigate <strong>Joe Biden</strong> and his son <strong>Hunter</strong>&#8217;s<strong> </strong>activities in Ukraine. Zelenskyy responded that the next prosecutor general would look into the situation. U.S. military aid to Ukraine was temporarily withheld during that period. Aid was released in <strong>September 2019</strong>. U.S. support for Ukraine increased after the full-scale Russian invasion in 2022, with billions in military and financial assistance provided during Zelenskyy&#8217;s term.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg" width="1042" height="695" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:695,&quot;width&quot;:1042,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:138359,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (www.president.gov.ua).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183739473?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (www.president.gov.ua)." title="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (www.president.gov.ua)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Aj2X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73e6df24-8dba-43c5-8016-b66856ec7a50_1042x695.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (www.president.gov.ua)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Relations with NATO</h2><p>Zelenskyy has sought closer ties with NATO since taking office. Ukraine applied for a NATO Membership Action Plan in his early years. After the 2022 invasion, Zelenskyy applied for fast-track NATO membership. NATO leaders have stated Ukraine&#8217;s future is in the alliance but have not set a timeline for accession. Zelenskyy has attended NATO summits and received commitments for security assistance from member states.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Relations with Russia</h2><p>Zelenskyy&#8217;s relations with Russia have been defined by the ongoing conflict. He campaigned on ending the war in Donbas through negotiations. Early efforts included prisoner exchanges and Normandy Format meetings. Russia launched the full-scale invasion in February 2022. Zelenskyy has maintained that negotiations require Russian withdrawal from occupied territories. Peace talks mediated by third parties have occurred intermittently, with positions remaining apart on key issues.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Full-Scale Invasion and Wartime Leadership</h2><p>Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on <strong>February 24, 2022</strong>. Zelenskyy remained in Kyiv and delivered video addresses to the nation. He spoke to foreign parliaments and sought international support. Western countries provided military and financial aid. Zelenskyy imposed martial law and mobilized reserves.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg" width="1042" height="695" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:695,&quot;width&quot;:1042,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:108433,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183739473?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)." title="Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EQVe!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbeabe22-c337-449f-b0e4-34ac73af5ce4_1042x695.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official Ukrainian Government photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (www.president.gov.ua)</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><div><hr></div><h2>Family and Personal Life</h2><p>Zelenskyy married <strong>Olena Kiyashko</strong> in <strong>2003</strong>. They met as students in Kryvyi Rih. She studied architecture and worked in scriptwriting for Kvartal 95. The couple has two children: daughter <strong>Oleksandra</strong>, born in <strong>2004</strong>, and son <strong>Kyrylo</strong>, born in <strong>2013</strong>. The family lived in Kyiv before the invasion. Olena Zelenska has undertaken humanitarian activities as first lady.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Current Role and Challenges</h2><p>Zelenskyy directs Ukraine&#8217;s defense and diplomatic efforts in <strong>2026</strong>. He negotiates security arrangements and reconstruction aid. He seeks NATO membership and EU integration for Ukraine.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp" width="1200" height="800" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:95164,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official White House photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183739473?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official White House photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov)." title="Official White House photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uuSU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff063066e-fe17-4ebd-b03b-ddc49e2d2e52_1200x800.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official White House photo of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald J. Trump (whitehouse.gov)</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[From Maidan to Valdai: The Russia-Ukraine Conflict, 2013–2025]]></title><description><![CDATA[By Scott Burton Official for TrumpTrain.net (17 min read)]]></description><link>https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/russia-ukraine-conflict-timeline-2013-2025-maidan-valdai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/p/russia-ukraine-conflict-timeline-2013-2025-maidan-valdai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Scott Burton Official]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2026 17:19:18 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp" width="1200" height="800" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:108392,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official White House photo of Trump with Zelenskyy, February 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183247611?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official White House photo of Trump with Zelenskyy, February 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." title="Official White House photo of Trump with Zelenskyy, February 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wn_w!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3c7bdc26-6ab8-48c6-98e0-42d6addf294c_1200x800.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official White House photo of the Trump - Zelenskyy meeting, February 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)</figcaption></figure></div><p><strong>WASHINGTON &#8212; The armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which escalated into a full-scale Russian invasion in February 2022, traces its origins to political upheaval in Kyiv in late 2013 and early 2014. Those events led to the ousting of Ukraine&#8217;s president, Russia&#8217;s annexation of Crimea, and the start of fighting in eastern Ukraine that has continued in varying intensity for more than a decade. The conflict has resulted in hundreds of thousands of military and civilian casualties, displaced millions, and drawn extensive international involvement, including billions in U.S. and allied aid to Ukraine.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2>Euromaidan Protests and Revolution of Dignity</h2><p>Protests in Ukraine began on <strong>November 21, 2013</strong>, after President <strong>Viktor Yanukovych</strong> suspended plans to sign an association agreement with the European Union. Thousands gathered in Kyiv&#8217;s Independence Square, known as <strong>Maidan Nezalezhnosti</strong>, demanding closer ties with Europe and an end to government corruption. Demonstrations grew over the following weeks, drawing participants from across the country. Violence escalated in <strong>January 2014</strong> when parliament passed laws restricting protests. Clashes between demonstrators and security forces intensified in February, and security forces killed more than 100 protesters over several days, most by sniper fire on <strong>February 20</strong>. Yanukovych fled the country on <strong>February 22</strong>, parliament voted to remove him from office, and new elections were scheduled. The events became known as the Revolution of Dignity or Euromaidan Revolution.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:646485,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a chasm of land, symbolizing the divide of the war.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183247611?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a chasm of land, symbolizing the divide of the war." title="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a chasm of land, symbolizing the divide of the war." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U8ZT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e5b8db0-f305-4744-a21f-fc1f78c42135_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Russian Annexation of Crimea</h2><p>Russian forces without insignia occupied key sites in <strong>Crimea </strong>beginning <strong>February 27, 2014</strong>. The peninsula had been part of Ukraine since 1954 but hosted Russia&#8217;s Black Sea Fleet under a lease agreement. Russian troops blockaded Ukrainian military bases, and Crimean authorities under Russian control organized a referendum on <strong>March 16</strong>. Official results claimed overwhelming support for joining Russia, and Russia formally annexed <strong>Crimea </strong>on <strong>March 18</strong>. The international community, including the United States, did not recognize the annexation.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Start of Fighting in Donbas</h2><p>Pro-Russian protests erupted in eastern Ukraine&#8217;s Donetsk and Luhansk regions in <strong>March 2014</strong>. Armed groups seized government buildings in several cities and proclaimed the <strong>Donetsk People&#8217;s Republic</strong> and <strong>Luhansk People&#8217;s Republic</strong> in <strong>April</strong>. Ukraine launched military operations to regain control that month, and fighting intensified through the summer as Russian forces and equipment supported the separatists. Ceasefire agreements known as <strong>Minsk I</strong> and <strong>Minsk II</strong> were signed in <strong>September 2014</strong> and <strong>February 2015</strong>. They reduced large-scale combat but did not end violations, and low-intensity fighting continued along a contact line dividing government and separatist-held areas.</p><div><hr></div><h2>U.S. Involvement and Pressure on Ukrainian Prosecutor</h2><p>The United States condemned Russia&#8217;s actions in Crimea and Donbas, imposing sanctions on Russian officials and entities. Non-lethal aid to Ukraine began in <strong>2014</strong>. In 2015&#8211;2016, Vice President<strong> Joe Biden</strong> led U.S. efforts to support Ukrainian anti-corruption reforms. International lenders, including the IMF, conditioned aid on progress against corruption. Ukraine&#8217;s prosecutor general, <strong>Viktor Shokin</strong>, faced criticism for inaction on high-level cases. Biden publicly pressured Ukraine to fire Shokin, threatening to withhold <strong>$1 billion</strong> in U.S. loan guarantees. In a <strong>2018 </strong>speech at the Council on Foreign Relations, Biden recounted telling Ukrainian leaders, &#8220;I said, &#8216;You&#8217;re not getting the billion... If the prosecutor is not fired, you&#8217;re not getting the money.&#8217; Well, son of a bitch, he got fired.&#8221; Shokin was dismissed by Ukraine&#8217;s parliament in <strong>March 2016</strong>, and the loan guarantees were released.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png" width="1456" height="802" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:802,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2281851,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official White House photo of Trump with Putin, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183247611?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official White House photo of Trump with Putin, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." title="Official White House photo of Trump with Putin, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xsk3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd826687a-d7f1-476b-a9fc-5a3364bdee57_1600x881.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official White House photo of the Trump - Putin Alaska meeting, August 15, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Buildup to Full-Scale Invasion</h2><p>Tensions rose in <strong>2021</strong> as Russia massed troops near Ukraine&#8217;s borders and demanded guarantees against NATO expansion. Negotiations failed to resolve differences. Russia recognized the Donetsk and Luhansk separatist entities as independent on <strong>February 21, 2022</strong>, and Russian forces entered those areas. Russia launched a full-scale invasion on <strong>February 24, 2022</strong>, from multiple directions. Initial objectives included rapid capture of Kyiv, but Ukrainian resistance prevented quick victory. Fighting focused on eastern and southern regions, where Russia occupied additional territory but faced counteroffensives.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:702343,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined land with imagery of destruction, symbolizing the escalating chaos.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183247611?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined land with imagery of destruction, symbolizing the escalating chaos." title="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined land with imagery of destruction, symbolizing the escalating chaos." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NX2F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f7ae521-1f40-480c-90f3-0dc70fd061c5_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>U.S. and International Aid During Invasion</h2><p>The United States provided military assistance to Ukraine beginning in 2022. Total U.S. security assistance from February 2022 through 2025 exceeded <strong>$66 billion</strong>, including weapons, training, and intelligence. European countries and others contributed billions more. Aid supported Ukrainian defenses and counteroffensives.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:773889,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined countryside, symbolizing the destructive results of war.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183247611?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined countryside, symbolizing the destructive results of war." title="AI-generated illustration of Ukrainian and Russian Flags separated by a ruined countryside, symbolizing the destructive results of war." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZfB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c586e77-725f-4f5d-9a12-7999762ef95a_2752x1536.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">(AI-generated illustration by Scott Burton Official)</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Late 2025 Developments and Peace Efforts</h2><p>Diplomatic efforts intensified in <strong>late 2025</strong> under U.S. mediation. President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> engaged directly with Ukrainian President <strong>Volodymyr Zelenskyy</strong> and Russian President <strong>Vladimir Putin</strong>. Talks focused on ceasefire terms and security arrangements. Russian officials reported a Ukrainian drone attack on Putin&#8217;s Valdai residence overnight <strong>December 28&#8211;29, 2025</strong>. They stated<strong> 91</strong> drones targeted the site and were intercepted. Putin informed Trump of the incident during a phone call. Trump described the claim as serious and expressed anger, saying it complicated negotiations but did not halt efforts. Talks continue into <strong>early 2026</strong> with unresolved issues on territory and guarantees.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp" width="1200" height="800" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:800,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:100662,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Official White House photo of Trump with Zelenskyy, December 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov).&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.scottburtonofficial.com/i/183247611?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Official White House photo of Trump with Zelenskyy, December 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." title="Official White House photo of Trump with Zelenskyy, December 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NI5O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0eb06a39-927c-4a7b-906c-4f7d78e68ca1_1200x800.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Official White House photo of the Trump - Zelenskyy meeting, December 28, 2025 (whitehouse.gov)</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>